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Ituano U20 vs Sao Caetano U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Guilherme Miranda
44'
Goncalves L.
44'
Goncalves L.

AI Match Summary

Ituano U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ituano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ituano U20
39%
Draws
31%
Sao Caetano U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano U20 have won more games recently than Sao Caetano U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano U20 Sao Caetano U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
3:0
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Ituano U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Miranda
1 Goals
Assists Leader JP Abreu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sao Caetano U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano U20 31 / 100
Sao Caetano U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano U20 Sao Caetano U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituano U20 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Sao Caetano U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ituano U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ituano U20 VS Sao Caetano U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204