Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Victor Reis
35'
35'
Neto Berola
38'
38'
Neto Berola
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A2 game between Ituano and Monte Azul finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ituano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ituano come out ahead of Monte Azul on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ituano Clean Sheet 20%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ituano | Monte Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Monte Azul
3:3
Feb 3, 2010 Paulista
Monte Azul vs Ituano
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ituano Compare
Top Goalscorer Neto Berola
2 Goals Assists Leader Victor Reis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Monte Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moraes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ituano 31 / 100
Monte Azul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ituano Monte Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ituano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Monte Azul let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Monte Azul's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ituano scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Ituano VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ituano
(Home) 29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0 Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3 Ferroviaria
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Figueirense
Page 1 of 3
Monte Azul
(Away) 07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3 Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2 Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1 Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3 Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Monte Azul
Page 1 of 6
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3 Monte Azul
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Monte Azul
14 Feb
Taubate
3 : 3 Monte Azul
11 Feb
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Monte Azul
02 Feb
Piracicaba
2 : 0 Monte Azul
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agua Santa | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Ituano | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 4 | Sao Jose EC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Sertaozinho | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 6 | Votuporanguense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus-SP | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 8 | Piracicaba | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Osasco Sporting | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22:18 | 22 |
| 10 | Santo Andre | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | 18 |
| 11 | Taubate | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 22:23 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional de Limeira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:18 | 16 |
| 13 | Linense | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Monte Azul | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 15 | Gremio Prudente | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Sao Bento | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8:25 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)
