Sport Picks
Ituano vs Paysandu PA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Novelli Júnior, Itu 
Match Events
33'
33'
Richard
37'
37'
Souza B.
38'
38'
Sub
Bruno Bispo In: Gustavo Henrique
Out: Bruno Bispo
AI Match Summary
Paysandu PA in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu PA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paysandu PA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paysandu PA lately — more wins on the board than Ituano.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ituano Clean Sheet 20%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ituano | Paysandu PA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Serie C
Ituano vs Paysandu PA
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Ituano
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Serie B
Ituano vs Paysandu PA
3:5
Oct 23, 2021 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ituano
1:4
Oct 16, 2021 Serie C
Ituano vs Paysandu PA
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ituano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo Carvalho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ituano 32 / 100
Paysandu PA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ituano Paysandu PA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Paysandu PA let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Away concern: Paysandu PA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ituano's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ituano VS Paysandu PA
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ituano
(Home) 29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0 Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3 Ferroviaria
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Figueirense
Page 1 of 3
Paysandu PA
(Away) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
