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Ituano vs Sao Bento

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Matheus Mancini
42' Event
Carlao
82' Event
Coutinho

AI Match Summary

Ituano in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ituano
15%
Draws
49%
Sao Bento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ituano lately — more wins on the board than Sao Bento.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ituano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ituano Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Sao Bento
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Sao Bento
2:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Ituano
0:0
Mar 4, 2021 Paulista
Ituano vs Sao Bento
1:0
Dec 5, 2020 Serie C
Sao Bento vs Ituano
0:3
Oct 2, 2020 Serie C
Ituano vs Sao Bento
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Mancini
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sao Bento Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 51 / 100
Sao Bento 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Sao Bento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bento let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Sao Bento's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ituano scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

Sao Bento

(Away)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)