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Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

2 - 2
FT
Cerrado EC Logo

Cerrado EC

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lima Costa de Souza V.
13' Event
Cafe
49' Event
Santana de Sousa J. V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2024 game between Itumbiara and Cerrado EC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Itumbiara
20%
Draws
58%
Cerrado EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itumbiara come out ahead of Cerrado EC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cerrado EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Goiano 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Itumbiara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 23%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Cerrado EC
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
3:2
Sep 1, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itumbiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima Costa de Souza V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cafe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cerrado EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana de Sousa J. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordeiro Nunes K. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Cerrado EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Cerrado EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Itumbiara's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cerrado EC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Solid form: Itumbiara remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Cerrado EC
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itumbiara

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 7

Cerrado EC

(Away)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams