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Itumbiara vs Crixas

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crixas in this Goiano 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crixas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Itumbiara
6%
Draws
90%
Crixas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crixas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Itumbiara have won more games recently than Crixas.
  • Model gives Crixas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Crixas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Crixas
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 0
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 4.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Crixas
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Crixas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Crixas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Itumbiara scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Crixas conceded in 27% of 11 recent games.

Itumbiara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Crixas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
4.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463