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Itupiranga vs Carajas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Itupiranga Logo

Itupiranga

2 - 2
FT
Carajas Logo

Carajas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Itupiranga
35%
Draws
30%
Carajas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Itupiranga have won more games recently than Carajas.
  • Model gives Itupiranga a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 19%
Carajas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itupiranga Carajas
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 7 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Itupiranga
0:0
May 9, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
1:1
Jun 24, 2025 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Itupiranga
2:4
Jun 14, 2025 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itupiranga 49 / 100
Carajas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itupiranga Carajas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itupiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itupiranga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carajas conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Itupiranga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itupiranga VS Carajas
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itupiranga

(Home)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 7

Carajas

(Away)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)