Sport Picks
Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan, Ituzaingó 
Match Events
17'
17'
Lugones A.
20'
20'
Mena L.
27'
27'
Sub
Lugones A. In: Ferrante F.
Out: Lugones A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and Villa San Carlos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa San Carlos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villa San Carlos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villa San Carlos come out ahead of Ituzaingo on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Villa San Carlos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 21%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ituzaingo | Villa San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Ituzaingo
3:1
Aug 5, 2023 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Ituzaingo
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos
1:0
Jul 3, 2022 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Ituzaingo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ituzaingo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Villa San Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavia K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Melillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ituzaingo 24 / 100
Villa San Carlos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ituzaingo Villa San Carlos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa San Carlos let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Ituzaingo's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Ituzaingo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ituzaingo VS Villa San Carlos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ituzaingo
(Home) 18 Jul
Laferrere
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 0 Ituzaingo
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3 Villa San Carlos
27 Jun
Deportivo Armenio
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3 Villa San Carlos
19 Jun
Ituzaingo
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
05 Jun
Ituzaingo
2 : 0 Real Pilar
26 May
Ituzaingo
0 : 2 Laferrere
Page 1 of 3
Villa San Carlos
(Away) 18 Jul
Villa San Carlos
0 : 2 Deportivo Camioneros
14 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
10 Jul
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3 Villa San Carlos
28 Jun
CSD Liniers
1 : 1 Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3 Villa San Carlos
28 Jun
CSD Liniers
1 : 1 Villa San Carlos
20 Jun
Real Pilar
1 : 1 Villa San Carlos
06 Jun
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 37:19 | 50 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 29:13 | 49 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 30:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31:17 | 47 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 27:21 | 44 |
| 7 | Comunicaciones | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 8 | Laferrere | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Pilar | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Dep. Merlo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:38 | 36 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26:23 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 35 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 26:24 | 31 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | 31 |
| 16 | CSD Liniers | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17:26 | 27 |
| 17 | Flandria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20:32 | 26 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 20:29 | 25 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 26 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 12:22 | 24 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 16:29 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:33 | 22 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:45 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)