Sport Picks
Ivinhema vs Aguia Negra Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Ivinhema and Aguia Negra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivinhema.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia Negra haven't matched Ivinhema's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ivinhema have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ivinhema | Aguia Negra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ivinhema Compare
Aguia Negra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia Negra let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Ivinhema's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Ivinhema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ivinhema
(Home)Aguia Negra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivinhema | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pantanal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dourados | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Naviraiense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Corumbaense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Coxim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | 4 |
