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Ivinhema vs Bataguassu

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Wed, Mar 11, 2026
4 - 4
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-4. This leg finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ivinhema
30%
Draws
31%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bataguassu lately — more wins on the board than Ivinhema.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bataguassu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivinhema, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 13%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Bataguassu
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.2 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
4:4
Mar 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Ivinhema
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 31 / 100
Bataguassu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bataguassu let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Ivinhema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Bataguassu
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 6

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS -
TBD -
Corumbaense 3
Dourados 1
Naviraiense -
TBD -
Ivinhema 5
Bataguassu 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 4
Corumbaense 2
Naviraiense 1
Bataguassu 4
Final
Operario MS 5
Bataguassu 2