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Ivory Coast U20 vs Liberia U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
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AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast U20 play Liberia U20 in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. Ivory Coast U20 are favorites here. Recently, Ivory Coast U20 averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Liberia U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Ivory Coast U20 won 3, Liberia U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2025 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Ivory Coast U20 and 0.78 for Liberia U20. This points to a Ivory Coast U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Ivory Coast U20
15%
Draws
16%
Liberia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ivory Coast U20 picked up more points recently compared to Liberia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 0.78 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Ivory Coast U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Liberia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast U20 Liberia U20
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 21 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Friendly International
Ivory Coast U20 vs Liberia U20
6:1
Mar 20, 2025 Friendly International
Ivory Coast U20 vs Liberia U20
2:1
May 25, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ivory Coast U20 vs Liberia U20
2:0
May 11, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Liberia U20 vs Ivory Coast U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast U20 67 / 100
Liberia U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast U20 Liberia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ivory Coast U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ivory Coast U20 attacking → ← attacking Liberia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast U20 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Liberia U20 let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Ivory Coast U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Liberia U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 10
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00