Sport Picks

Ivory Coast vs Gambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Gambia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ivory Coast have averaged 1.77 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Gambia's 1.69 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Ivory Coast slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.96 - 1.18) back Ivory Coast to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Ivory Coast

15%

Draws

37%

Gambia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ivory Coast lately — more wins on the board than Gambia.
Model gives Ivory Coast a 48% chance of winning this.
Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Ivory Coast have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 20%

Gambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ivory Coast	Gambia
Matches Played	35	29
Wins	24	10
Draws	2	8
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.77	1.69
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.96	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 World Championship

Ivory Coast vs Gambia

1:0

Nov 20, 2023 World Championship

Gambia vs Ivory Coast

0:2

Jun 8, 2013 World Championship

Gambia vs Ivory Coast

0:3

Mar 23, 2013 World Championship

Ivory Coast vs Gambia

3:0

Nov 3, 1984 World Championship

Gambia vs Ivory Coast

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 58 / 100

Gambia 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ivory Coast Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Gambia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Gambia

2.13 Goals Scored 1.6

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.8

75% Over 1.5 80%

63% Over 2.5 80%

38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)

03 Oct

Ivory Coast

0 : 1

Cameroon

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

30 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 2

Norway

25 Jun

Curacao

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

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Gambia

(Away)

29 Sept

Ghana

2 : 4

Gambia

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

29 May

Iran

3 : 1

Gambia

31 Mar

Senegal

3 : 1

Gambia

18 Nov

Kuwait

2 : 2

Gambia

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