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Friendly International Women Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

Mauritania W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast W play Mauritania W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ivory Coast W averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. Mauritania W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Ivory Coast W won 1, Mauritania W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Ivory Coast W and 1.15 for Mauritania W. This points to a Ivory Coast W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Ivory Coast W

24%

Draws

26%

Mauritania W

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ivory Coast W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Ivory Coast W picked up more points recently compared to Mauritania W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.15 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%

Ivory Coast W Clean Sheet 21%

Mauritania W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ivory Coast W	Mauritania W
Matches Played	30	8
Wins	16	3
Draws	7	1
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	2.23	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.53	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Friendly International Women

Ivory Coast W vs Mauritania W

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kreto P.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Ouedraogo H.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Mauritania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52

Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast W 49 / 100

Mauritania W 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ivory Coast W Mauritania W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ivory Coast W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ivory Coast W attacking → ← attacking Mauritania W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast W scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Mauritania W let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Ivory Coast W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mauritania W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 10

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.67

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33