Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki

Iwaki

1 - 0

Iwata

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Takahashi Y.

16'

Yamanaka A.

22'

Watanabe R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iwaki in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Iwaki

17%

Draws

13%

Iwata

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Iwaki lately — more wins on the board than Iwata.
70% — that's where the model lands on Iwaki taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Iwaki Clean Sheet 68%

Iwata Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iwaki	Iwata
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	14
Draws	2	2
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwata vs Iwaki

1:2

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 J2 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

3:1

May 17, 2025 J2 League

Iwata vs Iwaki

2:0

Jul 29, 2023 J2 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Iwata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwaki 77 / 100

Iwata 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iwaki Iwata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IWA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwaki's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iwata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Iwaki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iwaki VS Iwata

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwaki

(Home)

12 Jul

Nagano Parceiro

1 : 3

Iwaki

07 Jun

Tokushima

2 : 0

Iwaki

30 May

Shonan Bellmare

1 : 2

Iwaki

23 May

Fujieda MYFC

0 : 1

Iwaki

17 May

Iwaki

1 : 2

Matsumoto Yamaga

Page 1 of 6

Iwata

(Away)

06 Jun

Iwata

2 : 3

FC Osaka

30 May

Tochigi City

4 : 3

Iwata

23 May

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

0 : 1

Iwata

16 May

Iwata

0 : 3

Fujieda MYFC

10 May

Fukushima United

4 : 2

Iwata

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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