Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Yamaha Stadium

Iwata

0 - 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Kawahara H.

45'

Yoshimura R.

56'

Sub

Sarachat S. In: Omori S.

Out: Sarachat S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Iwata and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Iwata

28%

Draws

50%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Iwata have produced (1.38).
Model gives Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Iwata Clean Sheet 10%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iwata	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	14
Draws	2	1
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwata

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jul 12, 2025 J2 League

Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

5:1

May 6, 2025 J2 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwata

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

2:4

Aug 25, 2024 J1 League

Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishino S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 22 / 100

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iwata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15