Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Iago Teles
43'
43'
Yamakoshi K.
Assist: Kodama S.
46'
46'
Sub
Yamakoshi K. In: Tanaka H.
Out: Yamakoshi K.
AI Match Summary
Iwata in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iwata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Tokushima have won more games recently than Iwata.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Iwata taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Iwata Clean Sheet 68%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iwata | Tokushima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J2 League
Iwata vs Tokushima
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Iwata
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Tokushima
0:4
May 25, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Iwata
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 J2 League
Tokushima vs Iwata
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iwata Compare
Top Goalscorer Iago Teles
1 Goals Assists Leader Ota R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tokushima Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamakoshi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iwata 68 / 100
Tokushima 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iwata Tokushima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iwata scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Tokushima lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Tokushima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Iwata VS Tokushima
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Iwata
(Home) 10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1 Toyama
26 Aug
Iwata
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 3
Tokushima
(Away) 10 Oct
Tokushima
1 : 2 Imabari
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0 Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0 Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1 Tokushima
02 Sept
Gifu
1 : 0 Tokushima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
