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Izberbash vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Izberbash host Zarya Lugansk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Izberbash have averaged 1.13 scored and 2.63 conceded recently, against Zarya Lugansk's 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Zarya Lugansk slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.94) back Zarya Lugansk to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Izberbash
39%
Draws
31%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarya Lugansk haven't matched Izberbash's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Izberbash Clean Sheet 10%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izberbash Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 5 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs Izberbash
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izberbash 29 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izberbash Zarya Lugansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IZB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Izberbash scored in 60% of their last 15 outings.

Zarya Lugansk has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Zarya Lugansk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Izberbash VS Zarya Lugansk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Izberbash

(Home)
04 Jul
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
27 Jun
Shahter Taganrog
3 : 0
Izberbash
20 Jun
Izberbash
2 : 1
Rubin Yalta
13 Jun
Kyzyltash
1 : 2
Izberbash
06 Jun
Izberbash
1 : 3
Rostov 2
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Zarya Lugansk

(Away)
04 Jul
Astrakhan
1 : 2
Zarya Lugansk
27 Jun
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
20 Jun
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
13 Jun
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
07 Jun
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
2 : 1
Zarya Lugansk
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