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Izola vs Rudar Trbovlje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Izola host Rudar Trbovlje in the 3. SNL - West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Rudar Trbovlje have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Izola have conceded 1.03 and scored 3.1. Head-to-head, Izola have won 2 to Rudar Trbovlje's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 15, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 3.44 vs 1.00, favoring Izola. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Izola
15%
Draws
14%
Rudar Trbovlje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Izola come out ahead of Rudar Trbovlje on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Izola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Izola Clean Sheet 20%
Rudar Trbovlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izola Rudar Trbovlje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Rudar Trbovlje
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Izola
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Rudar Trbovlje
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Izola
0:2
Mar 29, 2014 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Rudar Trbovlje
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izola 85 / 100
Rudar Trbovlje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izola Rudar Trbovlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izola scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Izola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rudar Trbovlje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Izola VS Rudar Trbovlje
4.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Izola

(Home)
03 Oct
Ziri
1 : 2
Izola
27 Sept
Izola
6 : 0
Skofja Loka
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
Page 1 of 6

Rudar Trbovlje

(Away)
03 Oct
Skofja Loka
3 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
13 Sept
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 3
Dob
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)