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Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ojeda C.
9' Event
Ferreira M.
45' Event
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

Iztapa in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iztapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Iztapa
20%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Achuapa have won more games recently than Iztapa.
  • Deportivo Achuapa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 22%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
5:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
1:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 29 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Deportivo Achuapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Achuapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Deportivo Achuapa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Deportivo Achuapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Achuapa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Achuapa

(Away)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)