Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ojeda C.
9' Event
Ferreira M.
45' Event
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

Iztapa in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iztapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Iztapa
33%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Deportivo Achuapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Achuapa have won more games recently than Iztapa.
  • Deportivo Achuapa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 22%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
5:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
1:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 29 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Deportivo Achuapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Deportivo Achuapa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Deportivo Achuapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Achuapa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019