Sport Picks

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Iztapa vs Xelaju

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Cano J.
46'
Sub
Cardoza E. In: Lemus B.
Out: Cardoza E.
46'
Sub
Rodas A. In: Moran M.
Out: Rodas A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Iztapa and Xelaju finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iztapa
6%
Draws
90%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Xelaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 19%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Xelaju
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xelaju
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Iztapa
3:0
Oct 26, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xelaju
1:1
Jul 24, 2022 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Iztapa
3:0
Apr 10, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xelaju
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 10 / 100
Xelaju 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Xelaju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Xelaju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 40 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Iztapa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xelaju
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019