Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iztapa play Xinabajul in the Liga Nacional 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iztapa averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Xinabajul averaged 1 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. In past meetings, Iztapa won 0, Xinabajul won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Iztapa and 1.05 for Xinabajul. This points to a Xinabajul double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Iztapa
17%
Draws
70%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Xinabajul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Xinabajul has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iztapa.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Xinabajul.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 20%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Xinabajul
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dantaz Paredes P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 16 / 100
Xinabajul 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Xinabajul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Xinabajul let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Iztapa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Xinabajul lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xinabajul
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019