Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jabaquara vs Barretos EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Wendel
59'
Rian
87'
Carlos D.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Jabaquara and Barretos EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barretos EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jabaquara
35%
Draws
25%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jabaquara's 0.87 goals per match outpaces what Barretos EC have produced (0.77).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Jabaquara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Barretos EC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 68%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jabaquara Barretos EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Barretos EC
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Jabaquara
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Barretos EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jabaquara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barretos EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jabaquara 95 / 100
Barretos EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jabaquara Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barretos EC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Jabaquara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jabaquara scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jabaquara VS Barretos EC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jabaquara

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)