Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jableh vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zakaria A.

AI Match Summary

Jableh in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jableh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jableh
15%
Draws
85%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Damascus Al-Ahli have won more games recently than Jableh.
  • Damascus Al-Ahli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jableh Clean Sheet 20%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jableh Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
4:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Syria Cup
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
1:0
May 2, 2023 Premier League
Jableh vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jableh Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakaria A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jableh 10 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jableh Damascus Al-Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Jableh scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Damascus Al-Ahli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jableh VS Damascus Al-Ahli
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jableh

(Home)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Damascus Al-Ahli

(Away)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)