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Jablonec vs Brighton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jablonec host Brighton in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Jablonec at 1.3 goals for, 1.27 against; Brighton at 2.04 for, 1 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.94 - 1.81) back Brighton to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jablonec
20%
Draws
45%
Brighton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Brighton have won more games recently than Jablonec.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 11%
Brighton Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Brighton
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.3 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 30 / 100
Brighton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Brighton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Jablonec went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brighton conceded in 48% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Brighton
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
10 Oct
Brno
0 : 1
Jablonec
02 Oct
Dukla Prague
0 : 1
Jablonec
20 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 1
Zlin
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5
Brighton
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mjallby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Gent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Twente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Brann 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Braga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Lugano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Crvena zvezda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 KF Egnatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Univ. Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Riga FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)