Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaboticabal Atletico vs Matonense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaboticabal Atletico in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaboticabal Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jaboticabal Atletico
15%
Draws
59%
Matonense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaboticabal Atletico have won more games recently than Matonense.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Matonense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaboticabal Atletico have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jaboticabal Atletico Clean Sheet 20%
Matonense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaboticabal Atletico Matonense
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.67 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2012 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Jaboticabal Atletico
0:2
May 6, 2012 Paulista A4
Jaboticabal Atletico vs Matonense
1:1
Jul 24, 2011 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Jaboticabal Atletico
1:7
Jun 4, 2011 Paulista A4
Jaboticabal Atletico vs Matonense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaboticabal Atletico 10 / 100
Matonense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaboticabal Atletico Matonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matonense has conceded goals in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Jaboticabal Atletico scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Jaboticabal Atletico remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matonense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaboticabal Atletico

(Home)
02 Sept
Tupa
4 : 1
Jaboticabal Atletico
29 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
0 : 2
Olimpia FC
26 Aug
Sao Vicente
2 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
19 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
2 : 0
Sao Vicente
15 Aug
Olimpia FC
1 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Matonense

(Away)
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 12 5 5 2 17:14 20
2 Bandeirante 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
3 Fernandopolis 12 5 4 3 14:7 19
4 Tupa 12 4 5 3 12:13 17
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 3 5 4 13:12 14
6 Tanabi 12 2 5 5 8:13 11
7 Assisense 12 3 1 8 9:21 10
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 12 7 5 0 25:12 26
2 Guariba 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
3 Ole Brasil 12 7 0 5 20:17 21
4 Olimpia FC 12 5 3 4 19:12 18
5 Jaboticabal Atletico 12 5 3 4 26:22 18
6 Americo EC 12 2 1 9 21:31 7
7 Matonense 12 1 2 9 7:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 2 0 17:3 26
2 Palmeirinha SP 10 5 4 1 17:6 19
3 Guacuano 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
4 Brasilis 10 4 2 4 16:12 14
5 Sao Judas Tadeu 10 1 1 8 9:18 4
6 Lencoense 10 1 0 9 9:33 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 14 9 1 4 26:16 28
2 Sumare 14 7 4 3 18:13 25
3 Cotia 14 6 5 3 27:23 23
4 Capivariano 14 5 6 3 30:20 21
5 Primavera EC 14 5 5 4 17:15 20
6 SKA Brasil 14 5 3 6 18:18 18
7 Lemense 14 4 2 8 16:30 14
8 Elosport 14 1 2 11 12:29 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 0 4 27:16 30
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 FC Primeira Camisa 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
4 ECUS SP 14 6 2 6 12:15 20
5 Uniao Suzano 14 5 4 5 21:18 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 5 3 6 14:18 18
7 Manthiqueira 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
8 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 13:28 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 10 1 3 21:7 31
2 Sao Vicente 14 9 2 3 29:19 29
3 EC Sao Bernardo 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
4 Guaruja 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
5 Mauaense 14 6 4 4 27:17 22
6 Jabaquara 14 7 0 7 21:24 21
7 Nacional SP 14 1 2 11 16:32 5
8 Palestra 14 1 1 12 8:38 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)