Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2022

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC host Manthiqueira in the Paulista A4 2022. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Manthiqueira have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Jacarei FC have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.38. Past meetings favor Manthiqueira slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2023, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Jacarei FC. Jacarei FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Jacarei FC

30%

Draws

34%

Manthiqueira

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Jacarei FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Manthiqueira.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Jacarei FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A4 2022 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%

Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jacarei FC	Manthiqueira
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	11	4
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Paulista A4

Manthiqueira vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Apr 22, 2023 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Manthiqueira

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

May 28, 2022 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Manthiqueira

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Apr 23, 2022 Paulista A4

Manthiqueira vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Jun 9, 2019 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Manthiqueira

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 36 / 100

Manthiqueira 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jacarei FC Manthiqueira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacarei FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Manthiqueira let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jacarei FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Manthiqueira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Manthiqueira

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

25% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penapolense	10	6	3	1	23:6	21
2	Inter de Bebedouro	10	6	3	1	18:6	21
3	Catanduva FC	10	6	2	2	25:11	20
4	Fernandopolis	10	2	2	6	11:22	8
5	America SP	10	2	2	6	14:24	8
6	Andradina Esporte Clube	10	2	0	8	12:34	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente	10	7	3	0	17:4	24
2	AA Itarare	10	3	6	1	13:8	15
3	Osvaldo Cruz	10	3	5	2	12:10	14
4	Vocem	10	3	4	3	8:12	13
5	Assisense	10	2	5	3	9:10	11
6	Santacruzense	10	0	1	9	4:19	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Taquaritinga	10	7	0	3	17:8	21
2	Sao-Carlense	10	6	2	2	17:5	20
3	XV de Jau	10	5	3	2	16:7	18
4	Francana	10	3	4	3	8:8	13
5	Sao Carlos	10	2	4	4	6:14	10
6	Batatais	10	0	1	9	7:29	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itapirense	10	7	2	1	20:10	23
2	Rio Branco SP	10	6	1	3	15:10	19
3	Paulista	10	5	3	2	15:8	18
4	Amparo SP	10	3	3	4	15:12	12
5	Independente SP	10	3	2	5	8:9	11
6	Uniao Sao Joao	10	0	1	9	3:27	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manthiqueira	10	6	2	2	26:12	20
2	Jacarei FC	10	6	1	3	25:6	19
3	Flamengo SP	10	5	4	1	18:11	19
4	Uniao Mogi	10	4	2	4	25:12	14
5	Guarulhos	10	2	4	4	11:18	10
6	Atletico Mogi	10	0	1	9	5:51	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maua FC	10	5	3	2	12:9	18
2	SKA Brasil	10	5	2	3	19:8	17
3	Colorado Caieiras	10	4	5	1	16:10	17
4	Jabaquara	10	4	3	3	10:10	15
5	Mauaense	10	2	4	4	11:16	10
6	ECUS SP	10	1	1	8	12:27	4