Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC host Sao Caetano in the Paulista A4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jacarei FC have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Sao Caetano's 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Jacarei FC have won 0 to Sao Caetano's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.19, favoring Sao Caetano. Sao Caetano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Jacarei FC

28%

Draws

22%

Sao Caetano

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sao Caetano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jacarei FC.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Jacarei FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A4 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 68%

Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jacarei FC	Sao Caetano
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	11	15
Draws	11	9
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	0.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista A4

Sao Caetano vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Apr 11, 2026 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Sao Caetano

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Sao Caetano

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A4

Sao Caetano vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 59 / 100

Sao Caetano 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jacarei FC Sao Caetano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacarei FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Sao Caetano let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Jacarei FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Caetano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Sao Caetano

0.63 Goals Scored 1.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 100%

13% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter de Bebedouro	15	10	3	2	21:6	33
2	Sao Caetano	15	9	2	4	23:14	29
3	Penapolense	15	8	5	2	22:10	29
4	Sao-Carlense	15	7	5	3	20:13	26
5	Barretos EC	15	7	5	3	12:10	26
6	Taquaritinga	15	7	3	5	20:13	24
7	Jacarei FC	15	6	5	4	11:9	23
8	Lemense	15	6	4	5	14:12	22
9	ECUS SP	15	5	7	3	11:6	22
10	Comercial	15	6	2	7	17:16	20
11	Tanabi	15	4	6	5	12:10	18
12	Jabaquara	15	4	4	7	14:17	16
13	Vocem	15	3	6	6	12:13	15
14	Colorado Caieiras	15	1	7	7	6:20	10
15	Nacional SP	15	2	2	11	7:22	8
16	AEA Aracatuba	15	1	2	12	6:37	5