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Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bambam
39' Event
Alissan
45' Event
Bambam

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2024 game between Jacioba and Guarany Alagoano finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jacioba
6%
Draws
90%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarany Alagoano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jacioba Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacioba Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.13 2
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacioba Compare

Top Goalscorer Alissan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrucio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bambam
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacioba 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacioba Guarany Alagoano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jacioba scored in 24% of their last 21 outings.

Defensive concern: Guarany Alagoano conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Jacioba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacioba VS Guarany Alagoano
0.13 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi981017:325
2Guarany Alagoano962116:820
3Igaci961219:319
4Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense952213:517
5Dimensao Capela941413:813
6Alianca93157:710
7Miguelense92345:89
8FF Sport91445:117
9Jacioba92077:176
10Sao Domingos AL90182:341