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Stadium Background

Jacioba vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Jacioba Logo

Jacioba

0 - 1
FT
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Santos J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Miguelense in this Alagoano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miguelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jacioba
15%
Draws
73%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miguelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Miguelense have won more games recently than Jacioba.
  • Model gives Miguelense a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Miguelense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Jacioba Clean Sheet 10%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacioba Miguelense
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 2 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.48 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Miguelense
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Jacioba
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Miguelense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacioba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Miguelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacioba 10 / 100
Miguelense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacioba Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miguelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miguelense let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Miguelense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jacioba's goal record stands at 24% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jacioba VS Miguelense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
3.29 Goals Conceded 3.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacioba

(Home)
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Zumbi
2 : 0
Jacioba
19 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
0 : 0
Jacioba
11 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Sporting FC
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Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)