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Jacobina vs CE Flamengo

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacobina play CE Flamengo in the Baiano 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jacobina averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Jacobina won 2, CE Flamengo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Jacobina and 1.31 for CE Flamengo. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Jacobina
17%
Draws
45%
CE Flamengo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacobina picked up more points recently compared to CE Flamengo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 18%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobina CE Flamengo
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.79 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Jacobina
1:0
Apr 5, 2017 Baiano
CE Flamengo vs Jacobina
1:0
Mar 13, 2016 Baiano
Jacobina vs CE Flamengo
1:0
Apr 12, 2014 Baiano 2
Jacobina vs CE Flamengo
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobina 38 / 100
CE Flamengo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobina CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jacobina attacking → ← attacking CE Flamengo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobina scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

CE Flamengo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Jacobina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CE Flamengo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 41
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351