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Jacobinense vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Jacobinense Logo

Jacobinense

2 - 1
FT
Grapiuna Logo

Grapiuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2022 game between Jacobinense and Grapiuna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacobinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Jacobinense
20%
Draws
70%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Grapiuna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobinense Grapiuna
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jacobinense
4:1
Jun 12, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Grapiuna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobinense 36 / 100
Grapiuna 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobinense Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jacobinense scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Recent resilience: Jacobinense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobinense

(Home)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)