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Jacobinense vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Jacobinense Logo

Jacobinense

2 - 2
FT
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jacobinense
30%
Draws
62%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Itabuna have won more games recently than Jacobinense.
  • Win probability leans Itabuna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 10%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobinense Itabuna
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2023 Baiano
Itabuna vs Jacobinense
1:0
Aug 13, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Itabuna
2:2
Jul 31, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jacobinense
2:1
Jul 10, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Itabuna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobinense 10 / 100
Itabuna 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobinense Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobinense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Itabuna let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Jacobinense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jacobinense VS Itabuna
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobinense

(Home)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)