Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jacobinense vs Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Jacobinense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jacobinense
30%
Draws
58%
Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juazeiro come out ahead of Jacobinense on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Juazeiro taking it.
  • Juazeiro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jacobinense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 16%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobinense Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Juazeiro
1:0
Jul 17, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Jacobinense
2:1
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Jacobinense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobinense 10 / 100
Juazeiro 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobinense Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobinense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Juazeiro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Jacobinense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacobinense VS Juazeiro
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobinense

(Home)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
Page 1 of 6

Juazeiro

(Away)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Itabuna 2
Jequie 1
Juazeiro 2
Jacobinense 2
Final
Itabuna 4
Jacobinense 3