Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Strcaj J.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Dekani in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Dekani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jadran Dekani
30%
Draws
23%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Dekani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ilirija at 1.36 per game, Jadran Dekani at 1.1.
  • Jadran Dekani are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 68%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Dekani Ilirija
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Dekani Compare

Top Goalscorer Strcaj J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Dekani 68 / 100
Ilirija 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Dekani Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Dekani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilirija conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Jadran Dekani went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ilirija's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Dekani VS Ilirija
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Dekani

(Home)
06 Oct
Bilje
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
25 Sept
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Ilirija
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
13 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Beltinci
04 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Tabor Sezana
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Ilirija

(Away)
04 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 4
Beltinci
25 Sept
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Ilirija
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)