Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Jadran Luka Ploce in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jadran Luka Ploce lately — more wins on the board than GOSK Dubrovnik.
- Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jadran Luka Ploce have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 14%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jadran Luka Ploce | GOSK Dubrovnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:2
Apr 3, 2022 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs GOSK Dubrovnik
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:2
May 1, 2021 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs GOSK Dubrovnik
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jadran Luka Ploce 84 / 100
GOSK Dubrovnik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jadran Luka Ploce GOSK Dubrovnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JLP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jadran Luka Ploce found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: Jadran Luka Ploce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
GOSK Dubrovnik let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Jadran Luka Ploce VS GOSK Dubrovnik
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jadran Luka Ploce
(Home) 30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
23 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 6 Jadran Luka Ploce
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
01 May
Dragovoljac
0 : 5 Jadran Luka Ploce
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30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
25 Apr
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Solin
11 Apr
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 Uljanik Pula
28 Mar
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 0 Dugo Selo
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GOSK Dubrovnik
(Away) 24 Jan
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2 Jadran Luka Ploce
28 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0 GOSK Dubrovnik
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0 Zmaj Makarska
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1 GOSK Dubrovnik
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21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0 GOSK Dubrovnik
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1 GOSK Dubrovnik
24 Apr
NK Junak Sinj
0 : 0 GOSK Dubrovnik
16 Apr
HNK Zadar
2 : 0 GOSK Dubrovnik
03 Apr
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)