Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs NK Junak Sinj

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jadran Luka Ploce
15%
Draws
40%
NK Junak Sinj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Junak Sinj haven't matched Jadran Luka Ploce's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
NK Junak Sinj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce NK Junak Sinj
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 25 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs NK Junak Sinj
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL South
NK Junak Sinj vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 31 / 100
NK Junak Sinj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce NK Junak Sinj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 79% of their last 43 outings.

NK Junak Sinj has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
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NK Junak Sinj

(Away)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
HNK Zadar
4 : 0
NK Junak Sinj
21 May
NK Junak Sinj
3 : 1
Uskok Klis
14 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1
NK Junak Sinj
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)