Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Jadran Luka Ploce in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- OSK Otok haven't matched Jadran Luka Ploce's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Luka Ploce taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jadran Luka Ploce have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jadran Luka Ploce | OSK Otok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs OSK Otok
4:0
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:5
May 22, 2021 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs OSK Otok
5:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jadran Luka Ploce 85 / 100
OSK Otok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jadran Luka Ploce OSK Otok
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jadran Luka Ploce found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (45 games).
OSK Otok has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.
Jadran Luka Ploce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jadran Luka Ploce
(Home) 26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0 Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
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26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Kustosija
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
22 Aug
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 2 Opatija
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
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OSK Otok
(Away) 28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1 OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1 OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1 Kamen Podbablje
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22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1 OSK Otok
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1 OSK Otok
23 Apr
HNK Zadar
7 : 0 OSK Otok
16 Apr
Jadran Luka Ploce
4 : 0 OSK Otok
09 Apr
Neretva
1 : 1 OSK Otok
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
