Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Porec vs Belisce

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lepinjica I.
27' Event
Al Tharwan I.
31' Event
Lepinjica I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2023/2024 game between Jadran Porec and Belisce finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jadran Porec
15%
Draws
85%
Belisce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belisce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jadran Porec come out ahead of Belisce on wins alone.
  • Jadran Porec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 68%
Belisce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Porec Belisce
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 22
Goals Scored 0.84 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Belisce
3:0
Nov 11, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Belisce
2:2
Mar 28, 2001 Prva NL
Belisce vs Jadran Porec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepinjica I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Tharwan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Belisce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Porec 95 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Porec Belisce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Porec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Belisce conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Belisce has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Jadran Porec scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Porec VS Belisce
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Porec

(Home)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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Belisce

(Away)
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0
Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2
Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6
Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0
Belisce
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)