Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Porec vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Zlatunic N.
34' Event
Sverko F.
65' Event
Scira D.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Jadran Porec and Segesta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jadran Porec
15%
Draws
85%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jadran Porec haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • Segesta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Segesta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 12%
Segesta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Porec Segesta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 20
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 6
Goals Scored 0.77 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Segesta
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Druga NL
Segesta vs Jadran Porec
4:0
Apr 14, 2001 Prva NL
Segesta vs Jadran Porec
3:2
Oct 7, 2000 Prva NL
Jadran Porec vs Segesta
1:2
Mar 30, 2000 Prva NL
Segesta vs Jadran Porec
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Sverko F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zlatunic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Porec 10 / 100
Segesta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Porec Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Jadran Porec's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Segesta let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Segesta registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Porec

(Home)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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Segesta

(Away)
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)