Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026

Jaen

3 - 1

Aguilas FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Gonzalez N.

30'

Martos M.

37'

Martinez C.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Jaen

20%

Draws

38%

Aguilas FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Aguilas FC have won more games recently than Jaen.
Win probability leans Jaen's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Jaen Clean Sheet 19%

Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaen	Aguilas FC
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	15	17
Draws	8	6
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Jaen vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Aguilas FC vs Jaen

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martos M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Aguilas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 42 / 100

Aguilas FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaen Aguilas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaen scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Aguilas FC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Aguilas FC

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	17	12	5	54:38	63
2	Deportiva Minera	34	19	6	9	50:33	63
3	Aguilas FC	34	18	7	9	45:25	61
4	Xerez CD	34	17	8	9	32:24	59
5	Jaen	34	16	10	8	43:33	58
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41:25	57
7	UCAM Murcia	34	16	7	11	49:41	55
8	Linares	34	11	14	9	42:45	47
9	La Union (Malacitano)	34	13	6	15	44:43	45
10	Lorca Deportiva	34	12	9	13	32:36	45
11	Yeclano	34	12	8	14	33:33	44
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38:40	44
13	CD Estepona	34	12	8	14	40:44	44
14	Puente Genil	34	10	10	14	28:37	40
15	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	8	12	14	34:43	36
16	Melilla	34	7	13	14	36:40	34
17	Almeria B	34	4	9	21	26:53	21
18	Malaga B	34	5	6	23	32:66	21