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Jaen vs Algeciras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria, Jaén
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaen host Algeciras in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jaen at 1.5 goals for, 0.86 against; Algeciras at 1.1 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Jaen have won 3 to Algeciras's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2019, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.13) back Jaen to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaen
30%
Draws
39%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jaen have won more games recently than Algeciras.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Algeciras
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Jaen vs Algeciras
0:2
Jun 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Algeciras vs Jaen
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Algeciras
3:1
Nov 1, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Algeciras vs Jaen
1:3
Feb 10, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Algeciras
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 32 / 100
Algeciras 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Algeciras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaen scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Algeciras conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Algeciras
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
18 Oct
Jaen
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
10 Oct
Jaen
3 : 3
Villarreal B
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Algeciras

(Away)
17 Oct
Algeciras
2 : 0
Hercules
11 Oct
CE Europa
2 : 1
Algeciras
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Zaragoza 8 5 2 1 16:10 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)