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Jaen vs Ejido

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Soler A.
29' Event
Lozano O.
35' Event
Martos M.

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Jaen
20%
Draws
7%
Ejido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ejido haven't matched Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jaen a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Ejido Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Ejido
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.85 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Ejido
5:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Jaen
1:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Jaen
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Ejido
0:0
Jul 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ejido vs Jaen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ejido Compare

Top Goalscorer Soler A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 95 / 100
Ejido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Ejido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Ejido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jaen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
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Ejido

(Away)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)