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Jaen vs Rayo Majadahonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria, Jaén
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaen host Rayo Majadahonda in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jaen have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Rayo Majadahonda's 1.38 scored and 1 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.81, favoring Jaen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jaen
30%
Draws
23%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 31 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Rayo Majadahonda let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Jaen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rayo Majadahonda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)