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Jaen vs UD Ibiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria, Jaén
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Caballero A.
17'
Sub
Moyano J. In: Cabello M.
Out: Moyano J.
22'
Lazo J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Jaen and UD Ibiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Jaen
20%
Draws
42%
UD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UD Ibiza haven't matched Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 16%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen UD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Jaen vs UD Ibiza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 31 / 100
UD Ibiza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen UD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jaen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UD Ibiza let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS UD Ibiza
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
Page 1 of 6

UD Ibiza

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)