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Jagersburg vs Ahrweiler Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sellentin S.
26' Event
Fricker J.
35' Event
Fricker J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 game between Jagersburg and Ahrweiler finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jagersburg
35%
Draws
32%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagersburg come out ahead of Ahrweiler on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jagersburg a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jagersburg Clean Sheet 20%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagersburg Ahrweiler
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Jagersburg vs Ahrweiler
7:0
Apr 15, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Jagersburg
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schafer T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fricker J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Ahrweiler Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagersburg 85 / 100
Ahrweiler 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagersburg Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagersburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagersburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ahrweiler has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Jagersburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagersburg VS Ahrweiler
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagersburg

(Home)
27 May
Jagersburg
7 : 0
Ahrweiler
20 May
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
1 : 1
Jagersburg
13 May
Jagersburg
1 : 2
Waldalgesheim
06 May
Eisbachtal
2 : 1
Jagersburg
29 Apr
Jagersburg
1 : 1
Pfeddersheim
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Ahrweiler

(Away)
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
05 Sept
TuS Koblenz
0 : 0
Ahrweiler
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