Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 Chorten Arena

Jagiellonia II

2 - 0

Olimpia Zambrow

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Matheus Vinicius

78'

Bayer B.

90'

Toporkiewicz K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Jagiellonia II and Olimpia Zambrow finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Jagiellonia II

Draws

Olimpia Zambrow

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Olimpia Zambrow haven't matched Jagiellonia II's recent run of results.
Jagiellonia II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Jagiellonia II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 20%

Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jagiellonia II	Olimpia Zambrow
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	17	7
Draws	8	7
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly

Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Mar 19, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Vinicius

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toporkiewicz K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 85 / 100

Olimpia Zambrow 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jagiellonia II Olimpia Zambrow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Olimpia Zambrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Jagiellonia II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19