Sport Picks
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
25'
25'
Zalewski Z.
38'
38'
Konanau M.
66'
66'
Pawelczyk O.
AI Match Summary
Jagiellonia II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Pelikan.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jagiellonia II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 12%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia II | Pelikan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
3:0
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Jagiellonia II
1:4
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
4:0
Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
2:1
Nov 19, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Zalewski Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Konanau M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Pelikan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia II 30 / 100
Pelikan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia II Pelikan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pelikan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia II scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Pelikan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Jagiellonia II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia II VS Pelikan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia II
(Home) 10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Pelikan
07 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 3
Pelikan
(Away) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1 Pelikan
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Pelikan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
