Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Drygiel P.
90'
90'
Niedzwiecki K.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Jagiellonia II and Wasilkow finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jagiellonia II carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Jagiellonia II taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jagiellonia II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 15%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia II | Wasilkow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Jagiellonia II
0:1
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
5:0
Apr 2, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs Jagiellonia II
0:5
Aug 30, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Drygiel P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Wasilkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Niedzwiecki K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia II 84 / 100
Wasilkow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia II Wasilkow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wasilkow let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Jagiellonia II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Jagiellonia II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia II VS Wasilkow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia II
(Home) 11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1 Troszyn
13 May
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1 Troszyn
10 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 2 LKS Lomza
25 Apr
Jagiellonia II
1 : 4 Widzew Lodz II
11 Apr
Jagiellonia II
5 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
Wasilkow
(Away) 30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4 Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3 Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
01 May
Zabkovia Zabki
0 : 3 Wasilkow
19 Apr
Widzew Lodz II
4 : 1 Wasilkow
04 Apr
Troszyn
3 : 2 Wasilkow
28 Mar
MKS Mlawa
4 : 2 Wasilkow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)