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Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia host Anderlecht in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Anderlecht have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Jagiellonia have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.74. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring Jagiellonia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
68%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Anderlecht's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 14%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Anderlecht
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 27 / 100
Anderlecht 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Anderlecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Anderlecht lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Anderlecht
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Anderlecht

(Away)
10 Oct
Cercle Brugge
1 : 2
Anderlecht
02 Oct
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)