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Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Kobayashi Y.
32'
Alhassan I.
34' Event
Imaz J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
68%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia have won more games recently than Iberia 1999.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Jagiellonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jagiellonia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Iberia 1999
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League
Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
1:2
Aug 20, 2026 Europa League
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbonifo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iberia 1999 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 31 / 100
Iberia 1999 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Iberia 1999 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Iberia 1999
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
10 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2
Iberia 1999
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0